Eventual Hurricanes 1921-2001 80 years
In the Test Areas centred at 13'N60'W in the St. Vincent Grenadines
re: Tracks passing through

   NARROW AREA   bound by  14'N65'W  14'N55'W    Martinique - St. Lucia
                           11'N65'W  11'N55'W    Trinidad

                                    1921-2001 1947-2001 1972-2001 1987-2001 1997-2001
                                      80 yrs    55 yrs    30 yrs    15 yrs     5 yrs
                                      ------    ------    ------    ------    ------
Within the bounds Reaching  gt70 mph    11         5         2         0         0
                        46 to 70 mph    17        11         6         4         1
                            lt46 mph    27        21         6         4         1
                                       ----      ----      ----      ----      ----
                                        55        37        14         8         2
                                       ----      ----      ----      ----      ----

Not a single  hurricane strength storm eye passing in 15 years.
Only two  (2) hurricane strength storm eye passing in 30 years.
Only five (5) hurricane strength storm eye passing in 55 years.

summary prepared by Russell A. Filman 6/13/97  mailto:filman@295.ca updated 9/29/02
raw data source: Tropical Weather Archives www.nhc.noaa.gov



Eventual Hurricanes          1921-2001       80 years

In the Test Areas centred at 13'N60'W in the St. Vincent Grenadines
re: Tracks passing through

    BROAD AREA   bound by  15'N65'W  15'N55'W    Dominica-Martinique Passage
                           11'N65'W  11'N55'W    Trinidad

                                    1921-2001 1947-2001 1972-2001 1987-2001 1997-2001
                                      80 yrs   55 yrs     30 yrs    15 yrs     5 yrs
                                      ------   ------     ------    ------    ------
Within the bounds Reaching  gt70 mph    11        11         3         1         0
                        46 to 70 mph    17        12         8         5         1
                            lt46 mph    27        23         8         5         1
                                       ----      ----      ----      ----      ----
                                        55        46        19        11         2
                                       ----      ----      ----      ----      ----

summary prepared by Russell A. Filman 6/13/97  mailto:filman@295.ca updated 9/29/02
raw data source: Tropical Weather Archives www.nhc.noaa.gov


Extracted details on individual storm eye readings follow:

link to a table covering an extension to 17'N65'W and 17'N55'W

70mph maximum
24130 09/08/1921 M= 9  3 SNBR= 246 NOT NAMED   XING=0
24140 09/08*102 551  60    0*110 573  65    0*116 586  70    0*122 598  70    0*
24150 09/09*131 611  70    0*139 623  70    0*147 636  70    0*150 649  70    0*
................
24223 HR


60mph maximum
24540 09/13/1922 M=14  2 SNBR= 251 NOT NAMED   XING=0
24550 09/13*104 468  35    0*107 488  35    0*110 500  40    0*112 509  40    0*
24560 09/14*116 519  45    0*120 529  50    0*126 540  50    0*134 552  55    0*
24570 09/15*142 564  60    0*151 577  60    0*158 588  65    0*164 598  70    0*
................
24683 HR


40mph maximum
25080 10/12/1923 M= 6  3 SNBR= 256 NOT NAMED   XING=1 SSS=1
25090 10/12*  0   0   0    0*104 920  35    0*119 938  35    0*134 944  35    0*
25100 10/13*148 948  40    0*160 951  40    0*171 953  35    0*180 954  40    0*
................
25143 HR LA1


35mph maximum
25520 08/16/1924 M=13  2 SNBR= 262 NOT NAMED   XING=0
25530 08/16*  0   0   0    0*105 540  35    0*110 552  35    0*115 561  35    0*
25540 08/17*120 570  35    0*126 580  35    0*134 591  35    0*142 604  35    0*
25550 08/18*150 613  35    0*159 626  35    0*168 635  35    0*176 645  40    0*
................
25653 HR


40mph maximum
25660 08/26/1924 M=12  3 SNBR= 263 NOT NAMED   XING=0
25670 08/26*137 500  35    0*137 532  35    0*138 546  35    0*140 558  35    0*
25680 08/27*144 570  40    0*149 581  40    0*153 590  45    0*156 598  50    0*
................
25783 HR


40mph maximum
26280 07/22/1926 M=12  1 SNBR= 271 NOT NAMED   XING=1 SSS=2
26290 07/22*  0   0   0    0*140 579  35    0*142 588  40    0*146 603  40    0*
26300 07/23*151 618  45    0*156 632  55    0*163 645  60    0*171 658  65    0*
................
26403 HRDFL2


35mph maximum
27940 08/03/1928 M=10  1 SNBR= 289 NOT NAMED   XING=1 SSS=2
27950 08/03*113 607  35    0*123 621  35    0*133 636  35    0*142 652  35    0*
27960 08/04*150 660  35    0*160 670  35    0*167 678  35    0*176 690  40    0*
................
28043 HRCFL2


45mph maximum
28050 08/07/1928 M=11  2 SNBR= 290 NOT NAMED   XING=1
28060 08/07*  0   0   0    0*  0   0   0    0*123 600  35    0*128 608  35    0*
28070 08/08*133 616  35    0*138 625  40    0*142 635  40    0*146 646  45    0*
28080 08/09*150 655  50    0*154 669  55    0*158 680  60    0*162 689  65    0*
................
28163 HR


35mph maximum
29400 09/05/1931 M= 8  5 SNBR= 304 NOT NAMED   XING=0
29410 09/05*  0   0   0    0*  0   0   0    0*  0   0   0    0*125 555  35    0*
29420 09/06*126 593  35    0*127 610  35    0*128 628  35    0*130 641  35    0*
29430 09/07*133 652  35    0*137 665  40    0*142 679  40    0*148 693  40    0*
................
29483 HR


45mph maximum
32110 09/16/1933 M=10 15 SNBR= 334 NOT NAMED   XING=0
32120 09/16*  0   0   0    0*110 547  35    0*121 581  35    0*122 593  35    0*
32130 09/17*124 604  40    0*125 615  40    0*128 626  40    0*131 639  45    0*
32140 09/18*134 651  45    0*136 663  45    0*139 676  50    0*144 689  50    0*
................
32208 HR


45mph maximum
35820 08/10/1938 M= 6  2 SNBR= 384 NOT NAMED   XING=1 SSS=1
35830 08/10*112 586  35    0*116 605  40    0*122 628  45    0*131 647  45    0*
35840 08/11*139 669  50    0*146 694  55    0*153 720  60    0*160 744  65    0*
................
35873 HR LA1


45mph maximum
37660 09/23/1941 M= 8  4 SNBR= 407 NOT NAMED   XING=0
37670 09/23*  0   0   0    0*  0   0   0    0*  0   0   0    0*140 593  40    0*
37680 09/24*140 612  40    0*140 631  45    0*140 650  45    0*140 663  50    0*
................
37743 HR


35mph maximum
38030 08/21/1942 M=11  2 SNBR= 411 NOT NAMED   XING=1 SSS=3
38040 08/21*  0   0   0    0*139 599  35    0*139 608  35    0*139 617  35    0*
38050 08/22*140 628  35    0*141 641  35    0*141 654  35    0*142 664  35    0*
................
38143 HRBTX3


60mph maximum
38860 08/19/1943 M= 9  3 SNBR= 422 NOT NAMED   XING=0
38870 08/19*  0   0   0    0*135 555  50    0*141 562  55    0*146 566  60    0*
38880 08/20*151 570  65    0*156 575  70    0*161 580  70    0*167 587  75    0*
................
38953 HR


70mph maximum
39260 10/11/1943 M= 8  9 SNBR= 428 NOT NAMED   XING=1
39270 10/11*  0   0   0    0*136 599  45    0*137 606  50    0*138 613  50    0*
39280 10/12*138 622  55    0*138 633  60    0*138 643  65    0*138 650  70    0*
39290 10/13*139 657  70    0*141 669  75    0*147 676  75    0*152 679  75    0*
39300 10/14*158 680  75    0*166 681  80    0*175 682  80    0*181 682  80    0*
................
39334 HR


60mph maximum
39590 08/16/1944 M= 9  4 SNBR= 433 NOT NAMED   XING=0
39600 08/16*  0   0   0    0*  0   0   0    0*  0   0   0    0*123 570  40    0*
39610 08/17*125 587  45    0*127 598  45    0*129 608  50    0*132 622  55    0*
39620 08/18*136 638  60    0*142 652  65    0*147 666  75  973*152 680  80    0*
................
39674 HR


50 -> 30mph maximum
45090 08/12/1951 M=12  3 SNBR= 504 CHARLIE     XING=0
45100 08/12*  0   0   0    0*122 457  25    0*123 462  25    0*124 468  25    0*
45110 08/13*126 475  25    0*128 484  25    0*130 492  25    0*132 499  25    0*
45120 08/14*134 506  25    0*136 513  25    0*138 522  30    0*140 535  30    0*
45130 08/15*143 553  35    0*146 572  45    0*149 590  50    0*152 607  60    0*
45140 08/16*154 625  65    0*157 648  70    0*160 670  75    0*161 687  80    0*
................
45213 HR


100 -> 0mph maximum
45220 08/27/1951 M=10  4 SNBR= 505 DOG         XING=0
................
45280 09/01*140 532  50    0*141 547  50    0*141 562  55    0*141 576  60    0*
45290 09/02*141 588  65    0*141 600  80    0*141 613  95    0*142 628 100    0*
45300 09/03*143 644 100    0*144 659  95    0*146 674  90    0*147 697  85    0*
................
45323 HR


25mph maximum
47850 09/02/1954 M=14  5 SNBR= 537 EDNA        XING=1 SSS=3
47860 09/02*  0   0   0    0*112 564  25    0*121 571  25    0*131 575  25    0*
47870 09/03*142 580  25    0*153 586  25    0*164 592  25    0*171 598  25    0*
................
47984 HR MA3 ME1


55 -> 35mph maximum
48420 12/30/1954 M= 8 11 SNBR= 543 ALICE       XING=0                          L
................
48470 01/03*176 632  70    0*173 636  70    0*170 640  70    0*165 647  70    0*
48480 01/04*160 653  65    0*155 652  65    0*151 649  55    0*147 644  50    0*
48490 01/05*144 640  40    0*140 636  35    0*136 633  30    0*133 631  25    0*
48491 01/06*130 630  25    0*128 630  25    0*  0   0   0    0*  0   0   0    0*
48494 HR


40 -> 0mph maximum
49300 09/10/1955 M=15  9 SNBR= 552 IONE        XING=1 SSS=3
49310 09/10*  0   0   0    0*154 432  25    0*154 442  35    0*154 454  35    0*
49320 09/11*153 467  35    0*153 480  35    0*152 493  35    0*149 505  35    0*
49330 09/12*147 517  35    0*144 529  35    0*142 541  35    0*144 553  40 1008*
49340 09/13*150 565  40    0*157 575  40    0*164 582  45    0*169 588  45    0*
................
49444 HR NC3


105mph maximum
49450 09/21/1955 M=10 10 SNBR= 553 JANET       XING=0
49460 09/21*  0   0   0    0*  0   0   0    0*  0   0   0    0*132 543  35    0*
49470 09/22*133 560  50    0*131 576  50    0*129 592 105    0*125 604 105  979*
49480 09/23*123 614 100    0*125 625  85    0*127 636  80  996*129 648  80  996*
49490 09/24*130 660  85    0*135 669  95    0*140 679 100  996*139 693 110  995*
................
49544 HR


105 -> 60mph maximum
49760 08/09/1956 M=12  3 SNBR= 558 BETSY       XING=0
49770 08/09*  0   0   0    0*135 472  50    0*137 488  50    0*139 502  50    0*
49780 08/10*140 516  60    0*141 530 105    0*142 543 105    0*144 560 105  979*
49790 08/11*147 578 105    0*149 591 100    0*153 603  95    0*160 618  80  991*
................
49874 HR


35mph maximum
51260 08/30/1958 M= 8  5 SNBR= 576 ELLA        XING=1
51270 08/30*  0   0   0    0*137 566  30    0*140 596  35    0*154 620  35    0*
................
51343 HR


50 -> 0mph maximum
51350 09/04/1958 M= 9  6 SNBR= 577 FIFI        XING=0
................
51380 09/06*145 541  50 1000*156 557  65    0*166 571  75    0*175 583  80    0*
................
51443 HR


80 -> 65mph maximum
52680 07/10/1960 M= 7  2 SNBR= 594 ABBY        XING=0
52700 07/10*130 562  30    0*130 580  30    0*138 610  65    0*142 623  70    0*
52710 07/11*145 635  80    0*144 648  80    0*148 660  85    0*152 675  80    0*
................
52763 HR


0 -> 0   130* Did not enter test areas
52870 08/29/1960 M=17  5 SNBR= 597 DONNA       XING=1 SSS=4
................
52930 09/03*143 494 125    0*147 512 130    0*152 529 130  965*156 546 135  947*
52940 09/04*160 563 135    0*164 580 140    0*168 595 140  952*172 608 135    0*
................
53034 HRBFL4 NC3 NY3DFL2 CT2 RI2 MA1 NH1 ME1


60mph maximum
53200 07/20/1961 M= 5  1 SNBR= 600 ANNA        XING=0
53210 07/20*115 602  35    0*117 620  45 1002*119 638  60  999*124 657  70    0*
................
53253 HR


85mph maximum
55170 09/23/1963 M= 7  6 SNBR= 621 EDITH       XING=0
55180 09/23*  0   0   0    0*  0   0   0    0*110 520  25    0*115 530  25    0*
55190 09/24*121 540  30 1005*125 553  30    0*129 565  35 1004*132 582  65 1000*
55200 09/25*137 596  85    0*139 606  75    0*144 616  85  993*147 627  85  990*
55210 09/26*150 641  65    0*153 654  65  998*158 669  65 1000*168 673  65 1000*
................
55243 HR


115mph maximum
55250 09/26/1963 M=18  7 SNBR= 622 FLORA       XING=0
55260 09/26*  0   0   0    0*  0   0   0    0* 80 330  25    0* 81 348  25    0*
55270 09/27* 82 365  25    0* 83 383  30    0* 85 400  30    0* 87 416  30    0*
55280 09/28* 88 432  30    0* 90 447  30    0* 92 463  30    0* 95 479  30    0*
55290 09/29* 98 495  30    0* 99 511  30    0*100 528  40 1000*101 544  55    0*
55300 09/30*103 560  70    0*104 576  85    0*107 591 100  994*112 607 105  978*
55310 10/01*116 620 110  981*120 633 110  981*125 648 115  974*130 660 115  975*
................
55433 HR


75 -> 40mph maximum
55960 08/20/1964 M=17  5 SNBR= 629 CLEO        XING=1 SSS=2
55970 08/20*  0   0   0    0*  0   0   0    0*  0   0   0    0*131 443  30 1003*
55980 08/21*134 468  35    0*137 491  40 1000*141 513  65    0*144 535  70  993*
55990 08/22*149 557  75  993*153 578 100    0*157 597 110  970*160 619 115  962*
................
56133 HRCFL2


30mph maximum
57110 08/27/1965 M=18  3 SNBR= 639 BETSY       XING=1 SSS=3
57120 08/27*109 505  25    0*111 521  30    0*114 535  30    0*116 545  30 1007*
57130 08/28*120 558  30    0*130 578  30    0*140 598  30 1010*153 614  30    0*
57140 08/29*162 621  30 1010*174 626  30    0*192 634  35 1007*205 643  40  997*
................
57293 HRCFL3 LA3


80 -> 40mph maximum
58880 09/05/1967 M=18  2 SNBR= 655 BEULAH      XING=1 SSS=3
58890 09/05*  0   0   0    0*  0   0   0    0*140 570  30    0*139 578  30 1010*
58900 09/06*138 585  30    0*137 593  30    0*136 600  30    0*136 602  30    0*
58910 09/07*137 605  30    0*138 607  30    0*139 608  40 1006*140 611  45    0*
58920 09/08*142 615  50 1005*144 619  55    0*145 622  60  996*147 629  75  989*
58930 09/09*150 637  80    0*153 644  90    0*158 651 100    0*163 661 115  950*
58940 09/10*168 667 120    0*173 676 125    0*175 682 130  947*176 690 120  951*
58950 09/11*177 699 110  967*177 708  80    0*177 715  75    0*176 726  80  978*
58960 09/12*176 733  65 1006*175 741  65  997*173 751  60 1000*165 762  50  998*
58970 09/13*162 768  50 1004*160 773  50    0*158 778  50  996*158 781  50  997*
58980 09/14*159 785  55  996*160 790  60  998*163 795  75  991*168 801  90  989*
................
59063 HRATX3


30mph maximum
61070 08/29/1969 M= 7  6 SNBR= 675 FRANCELIA   XING=0
61080 08/29*115 620  30    0*118 635  30    0*120 650  30    0*125 665  30 1005*
................
61150 HR


25 -> 0mph maximum
61230 09/14/1969 M= 8  8 SNBR= 677 HOLLY       XING=0
................
61291 09/20*158 620  25    0*155 630  25    0*153 640  25    0*150 650  25    0*
61292 09/21*148 659  25    0*  0   0   0    0*  0   0   0    0*  0   0   0    0*
61300 HR


30mph maximum
63900 09/05/1971 M=14  6 SNBR= 703 EDITH       XING=1 SSS=2
63910 09/05*  0   0   0    0*  0   0   0    0*  0   0   0    0*114 580  25 1010*
63920 09/06*116 594  30    0*118 611  30    0*120 628  30    0*122 644  25    0*
63930 09/07*123 660  25    0*125 677  25    0*127 691  35 1006*129 709  45  995*
................
64140 HR LA2


30mph maximum
64670 09/11/1971 M=10 10 SNBR= 707 IRENE       XING=0
64680 09/11*  0   0   0    0*  0   0   0    0*  0   0   0    0*110 485  25 1009*
64690 09/12*113 503  25    0*118 522  25    0*121 538  25 1009*125 550  25    0*
64700 09/13*125 565  25    0*125 578  25    0*125 590  25    0*123 598  25    0*
64710 09/14*122 603  25    0*121 608  25    0*120 614  25 1007*119 621  25    0*
64720 09/15*117 630  30    0*115 640  30    0*114 650  30    0*115 662  30    0*
................
64780 HR


65mph maximum
67350 09/27/1974 M= 8 10 SNBR= 735 GERTRUDE    XING=0
................
67400 09/29*110 530  65  999*112 540  65    0*114 550  65 1000*115 554  65 1001*
67410 09/30*117 560  65 1004*113 564  65 1005*110 566  65    0*115 565  45 1008*
67420 10/01*119 571  45    0*120 577  45    0*121 583  45 1009*122 589  40    0*
67430 10/02*124 598  40    0*125 605  35    0*126 615  30    0*127 624  30    0*
67440 10/03*127 632  30    0*128 641  30    0*128 650  30    0*129 660  30    0*
67450 10/04*130 670  30    0*  0   0   0    0*  0   0   0    0*  0   0   0    0*
67460 HR


60mph maximum
70170 08/07/1978 M= 6  4 SNBR= 765 CORA        XING=0
................
70210 08/10*128 528  60 1006*124 548  55 1007*122 568  55 1007*121 588  50 1008*
70220 08/11*120 609  45 1008*120 628  35 1008*121 648  30 1008*121 668  30 1009*
................
70240 HR


25mph maximum
70550 09/13/1978 M= 8  8 SNBR= 769 GRETA       XING=0
70560 09/13*  0   0   0    0*  0   0   0    0*  0   0   0    0*110 625  25    0*
70570 09/14*115 645  25    0*120 660  30    0*125 675  35    0*130 690  35 1004*
................
70640 HR


130mph maximum
80310 08/25/1979 M=15  4 SNBR= 777 DAVID       XING=1 SSS=2
................
80340 08/27*117 470  55  990*118 485  65  980*118 500  80  966*119 515  95  954*
80350 08/28*122 529 115  947*125 544 125  941*128 557 130  938*132 569 125  941*
80360 08/29*137 580 120  944*142 592 120  942*148 603 125  938*153 616 125  933*
80370 08/30*156 628 130  929*160 642 140  925*163 652 145  924*166 662 150  924*
................
80461 HRCFL2DFL2 GA2 SC2


60 -> 0mph maximum
80520 08/29/1979 M=18  6 SNBR= 779 FREDERIC    XING=1 SSS=3
................
80570 09/02*143 541  60  992*149 555  60  994*155 572  60  996*163 588  55  999*
................
80701 HR AL3 MS3


130mph maximum
81000 07/31/1980 M=12  1 SNBR= 783 ALLEN       XING=1 SSS=3
................
81040 08/03*124 514  65  985*126 536  70  980*128 556  80  975*129 575  95  965*
81050 08/04*133 591 110  950*136 610 115  948*140 630 125  945*144 649 130  930*
................
81130 HRATX3


30mph maximum
82320 08/07/1981 M=16  4 SNBR= 797 DENNIS      XING=1
................
82370 08/11*138 549  30 1007*140 565  30 1008*143 583  30 1009*146 601  30 1010*
82380 08/12*149 619  25 1010*152 638  25 1011*154 657  25 1011*156 676  25 1011*
................
82490 HR


30 -> 0mph maximum
82770 09/07/1981 M= 9  7 SNBR= 800 GERT        XING=0
82780 09/07*148 540  25 1013*149 557  30 1012*151 574  30 1012*153 590  30 1010*
82790 09/08*156 606  40 1008*161 623  45 1005*168 640  50 1002*178 654  50 1004*
................
82870 HR


60mph maximum
87750 09/20/1987 M= 7  6 SNBR= 851 EMILY       XING=0
87760 09/20*0980513  25 1008*1040530  25 1007*1090547  30 1006*1140564  35 1005*
87770 09/21*1200580  40 1004*1240597  40 1004*1310613  45 1004*1370631  50 1002*
87780 09/22*1450647  60  992*1510663  80  978*1590677  90  971*1670691 110  958*
................
87830 HR


45mph maximum
88440 09/08/1988 M=13  8 SNBR= 860 GILBERT     XING=0
88450 09/08*  0   0   0    0*  0   0   0    0*  0   0   0    0*1200540  25 1008*
88460 09/09*1270556  25 1007*1330571  30 1006*1400586  30 1005*1450601  35 1004*
88470 09/10*1480615  40 1002*1500628  45 0998*1530641  50 0995*1570654  55 0992*
................
88580 HR


45mph maximum
88790 10/10/1988 M=14 11 SNBR= 863 JOAN        XING=0
................
88830 10/13*1240538  40 1007*1250549  40 1007*1260560  40 1006*1270571  40 1005*
88840 10/14*1260583  40 1003*1240594  40 1002*1220600  45 1001*1200608  45 1001*
88850 10/15*1210615  45 1003*1210628  45 1004*1200638  45 1004*1190649  45 1003*
................
88940 HR


135 -> 0mph maximum
89910 09/10/1989 M=16 08 SNBR= 872 HUGO        XING=1 SSS=4
................
89970 09/15*1380505 100  962*1400519 110  957*1420533 125  940*1460546 140 0918*
89980 09/16*1480561 135  923*1510573 130  927*1540584 120  940*1580594 120 0941*
................
90080 HR SC4


70 -> 0mph maximum
90910 08/24/1990 M=11  7 SNBR= 882 GUSTAV      XING=0
................
90940 08/26*1400533  55  997*1420544  60  993*1450555  65  990*1500564  70  984*
90950 08/27*1530570  75  980*1590577  85  973*1660580  90  967*1730582  95  965*
................
91030 HR


65mph maximum
95600 08/22/1995 M=17  9 SNBR= 928 IRIS        XING=0
................
95630 08/24*152 538  70  992*150 543  70  992*148 551  65  992*146 560  60  992*
95640 08/25*145 568  55  995*143 578  55  996*142 588  55  999*142 598  50  998*
95650 08/26*140 603  50 1000*142 602  45  999*146 605  45 1000*149 610  40 1003*
95660 08/27*151 614  35 1006*155 618  40 1005*160 620  45 1004*170 619  50  995*
................
95780 HR


70mph maximum
96170 09/12/1995 M=20 13 SNBR= 932 MARILYN     XING=0
96180 09/12   0   0   0    0*  0   0   0    0*  0   0   0    0*117 509  30 1006*
96190 09/13*118 527  35 1004*119 543  45  999*121 554  55  995*125 565  60  990*
96200 09/14*130 577  65  988*135 588  70  987*142 598  70  986*150 608  70  983*
96210 09/15*158 617  75  985*165 628  80  977*168 635  80  974*174 642  85  969*
................
96380 HR


25mph maximum
97310 07/24/1996 M= 5  3 SNBR= 941 CESAR       XING=0
97320 07/24*0000000   0    0*0000000   0    0*0000000   0    0*1180626  25 1009*
97330 07/25*1190647  25 1009*1190665  30 1007*1210681  40 1004*1230696  40 1002*
................
97370 HR


30 -> 0mph maximum
97990 09/03/1996 M=14  8 SNBR= 946 HORTENSE    XING=0
................
98030 09/06*1440536  30 1006*1460543  30 1006*1470551  30 1006*1490557  30 1006*
98040 09/07*1520570  30 1006*1540583  35 1005*1560596  40 1004*1580604  40 1000*
................
98140 HR

The following from the revised tables on line with NOAA at 9/27/02:

 65mph maximum narrow & wide area - 85mph extended area
 58410 10/17/1999 M= 9 10 SNBR=1218 JOSE        XING=0
 58415 10/17*0000000  00  000*0000000  00  000*0000000  00  000*0980508  25 1006*
 58420 10/18*1030518  30 1005*1090528  35 1004*1150539  40 1003*1220551  40 1002*
 58425 10/19*1290561  45 1000*1350571  55  994*1410581  60  994*1490589  65  992*
 58430 10/20*1570595  70  987*1630602  80  979*1680611  85  980*1720620  80  983*
................
 58460 HR

 35mph maximum
 59820 10/04/2001 M= 6  9 SNBR=1244 IRIS        XING=0
 59825 10/04*0000000   0    0*0000000   0    0*1230582  25 1011*1280599  30 1010*
 59830 10/05*1340614  30 1010*1400630  30 1010*1480645  35 1008*1550660  45 1005*
................
 59855 HR


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Incremental Test - North Extended
     Eventual Hurricanes          1921-2001       80 years

In the Test Areas centred at 13'N60'W in the St. Vincent Grenadines

re: Tracks passing through

NORTH-EXTENDED AREA bound by  17'N65'W  17'N55'W   Guadaloupe
                              11'N65'W  11'N55'W   Trinidad

                                    1921-2001 1947-2001 1972-2001 1987-2001 1997-2001
                                      80 yrs    55 yrs    30 yrs    15 yrs     5 yrs
                                      ------    ------    ------    ------    ------
Within the bounds Reaching  gt70 mph    24        24        15        13         3
                        46 to 70 mph    23        18        14        11         1
                            lt46 mph    33        29        14        11         1
                                       ----      ----      ----      ----      ----
 Extended Area Totals                   80        71        43        35         5
                                       ----      ----      ----      ----      ----

Broad Area for comparison               55        46        19        11         2
                                       -31%      -35%      -44%      -68%      -60%

Narrow Area for comparison              55        37        14         8         2
                                       -31%      -47%      -67%      -77%      -60%

Editorial comment: Considering these statistics, we have to seriously ask why insurance rates for St. Vincent and the Grenadines are maintained at such usurious levels and why the insurable demarcation zone is drawn south of St. Vincent and the Grenadines rather than to the north*. Is it because the country has insufficient support from the world community to right this blatant abuse? Do you have a supportable argument for other considerations? * This consideration voids St. Vincent's access to hurricane season yacht sheltering services, dockage, registration and all the concomitant business involved in annual overhauls to waterborne craft. This is a significant economic blockage for such a small undeveloped country.

summary prepared by Russell A. Filman 6/20/97 mailto:filman@295.ca updated 9/29/02 raw data source: Tropical Weather Archives www.nhc.noaa.gov

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Incremental items not included in NARROW or BROAD test areas extracts follow:
               tracks crossing in the area 17'N65'W 17'N50'W
                                           16'N65'W 16'N50'W


60 mph maximum
43270 09/21/1949 M= 2  9 SNBR= 484 NOT NAMED   XING=0
43280 09/21*  0   0   0    0*162 625  60    0*164 653  65    0*169 666  70    0*
43290 09/22*173 678  70    0*178 688  70    0*182 699  65    0*185 720  35    0*
43293 HR



35 mph maximum
43580 08/12/1950 M=11  1 SNBR= 489 ABLE        XING=0
43600 08/12*165 545  35    0*171 555  40    0*177 570  45    0*184 583  50    0*
43610 08/13*191 595  50    0*201 611  55    0*210 625  65    0*216 632  70    0*
43620 08/14*222 637  70    0*230 646  70    0*236 653  70    0*240 658  75    0*
43630 08/15*244 662  75    0*248 667  75    0*252 672  80    0*255 677  80    0*
43640 08/16*257 683  85    0*258 688  90    0*257 692  90    0*256 697  95    0*
43650 08/17*254 704 100    0*253 714 105    0*253 724 110    0*255 732 115    0*
43660 08/18*261 738 120    0*268 744 120    0*275 749 120    0*282 754 120    0*
43670 08/19*289 758 120    0*299 761 120    0*310 762 120    0*319 760 120    0*
43680 08/20*328 757 120    0*345 748 115    0*365 729 110    0*379 714 105    0*
43690 08/21*394 695  90    0*418 670  65    0*442 643  35    0*460 620  30    0*
43700 08/22*479 596  30    0*498 568  25    0*518 540  25    0*536 507  25    0*
43703 HR



105 mph maximum
43710 08/20/1950 M=13  2 SNBR= 490 BAKER       XING=1 SSS=1
43720 08/20*  0   0   0    0*163 550  60    0*165 565  60    0*165 574  65    0*
43730 08/21*166 583  80    0*166 592  95    0*167 600 105    0*166 607 100    0*
43740 08/22*165 613  90    0*166 618  80    0*167 624  70    0*168 631  60    0*
43750 08/23*170 640  50    0*173 650  40    0*176 660  35    0*180 670  30    0*
....................
43843 HR AL1



35 mph maximum
45900 08/18/1952 M=16  2 SNBR= 513 ABLE        XING=1 SSS=1
45910 08/18*  0   0   0    0*146 190  25    0*144 196  25    0*143 198  25    0*
45920 08/19*141 209  25    0*139 215  25    0*137 226  25    0*134 236  25    0*
45930 08/20*132 247  25    0*130 259  25    0*128 272  25    0*126 283  25    0*
45940 08/21*124 294  25    0*123 307  25    0*123 321  25    0*123 334  25    0*
45950 08/22*123 346  25    0*123 354  25    0*123 365  25    0*125 381  25    0*
45960 08/23*129 398  25    0*133 415  25    0*137 431  25    0*143 447  25    0*
45970 08/24*149 463  25    0*153 477  25    0*158 491  30    0*164 512  35    0*
45980 08/25*170 535  40    0*177 555  40    0*184 571  45    0*190 581  45    0*
....................
46063 HR SC1



60 mph maximum
46070 08/31/1952 M=10  3 SNBR= 514 BAKER       XING=0
46080 08/31*  0   0   0    0*167 584  60    0*173 587  60    0*178 590  60    0*
....................
46173 HR



85 mph maximum
46790 08/28/1953 M=13  4 SNBR= 522 CAROL       XING=1 SSS=1
46800 08/28*  0   0   0    0*160 205  25    0*153 216  30    0*146 228  30    0*
46810 08/29*139 240  30    0*132 253  30    0*126 267  30    0*120 281  30    0*
46820 08/30*114 295  30    0*109 307  30    0*107 321  30    0*106 339  30    0*
46830 08/31*106 358  30    0*106 377  35    0*106 396  35    0*108 414  40    0*
46840 09/01*113 430  40    0*119 443  45    0*125 456  50    0*131 469  55    0*
46850 09/02*136 481  60    0*142 495  70    0*150 510  75    0*161 537  85    0*
46860 09/03*173 563 115    0*181 575 125    0*189 587 130    0*199 600 130  929*
....................
46923 HR ME1



25mph maximum
47040 09/14/1953 M= 7  6 SNBR= 524 EDNA        XING=0
47050 09/14*  0   0   0    0*160 617  25    0*170 624  35    0*179 631  40    0*
....................
47113 HR



60 mph maximum
48830 08/21/1955 M=14  4 SNBR= 547 EDITH       XING=0
48840 08/21*  0   0   0    0*  0   0   0    0*124 410  25    0*128 423  25    0*
48850 08/22*132 435  25    0*136 447  25    0*139 459  25    0*142 470  25    0*
48860 08/23*145 480  25    0*150 495  30    0*153 510  45    0*157 523  45    0*
48870 08/24*163 533  60    0*172 540  60    0*183 546  60    0*199 552  60    0*
....................
48973 HR



30 mph maximum
49190 09/10/1955 M=11  8 SNBR= 551 HILDA       XING=0
49200 09/10*  0   0   0    0*  0   0   0    0*  0   0   0    0*168 613  30    0*
49210 09/11*174 617  30    0*180 623  30    0*186 629  35    0*189 641  40    0*
....................
49293 HR



60 mph maximum
56140 08/28/1964 M=20  6 SNBR= 630 DORA        XING=1 SSS=2
56141 08/28*  0   0   0    0*  0   0   0    0*140 180  25    0*136 200  25    0*
56142 08/29*131 220  25    0*128 240  25    0*124 260  25    0*121 275  25    0*
56143 08/30*118 296  25    0*117 317  25    0*115 333  25    0*114 350  25    0*
56150 08/31*112 370  25    0*111 390  25    0*110 410  30    0*111 425  30    0*
56160 09/01*113 440  30    0*115 455  30    0*117 470  50    0*127 487  55  998*
56170 09/02*133 496  60    0*142 512  60    0*153 530  60  996*165 549  60    0*
56180 09/03*178 565  80    0*182 573  85  984*187 580  90  984*196 589  90    0*
....................
56313 HRDFL2



90 mph maximum
58100 08/21/1966 M=18  6 SNBR= 648 FAITH       XING=0
58110 08/21*129 205  25    0*133 223  25    0*137 242  25    0*140 261  25 1006*
58120 08/22*143 280  35    0*146 299  35    0*149 319  35    0*150 339  40    0*
58130 08/23*151 358  50    0*152 378  50    0*152 398  65    0*153 418  65    0*
58140 08/24*153 438  80    0*153 457  80    0*153 477  80  992*156 498  85    0*
58150 08/25*160 520  85  993*163 541  90  995*166 562  90  986*169 579  90  990*
58160 08/26*173 594  90    0*177 608  85  997*183 622  80  995*190 637  75    0*
....................
58273 HR



75 mph maximum
60880 08/14/1969 M=12  4 SNBR= 673 DEBBIE      XING=0
60890 08/14*  0   0   0    0*  0   0   0    0*130 355  25    0*133 370  25    0*
60900 08/15*135 385  30    0*138 400  30    0*140 415  35    0*143 430  40    0*
60910 08/16*145 445  45    0*147 457  50    0*150 470  55    0*155 480  65    0*
60920 08/17*160 490  70  984*165 500  75  980*170 508  90  976*177 517  90  971*
60930 08/18*184 526  90  967*191 534 100  968*197 541 100  974*204 547  90  972*
....................
61010 HR



40 mph maximum
61230 09/14/1969 M= 8  8 SNBR= 677 HOLLY       XING=0
61240 09/14*  0   0   0    0*  0   0   0    0*119 474  25    0*123 481  30 1000*
61250 09/15*127 485  40    0*133 488  50    0*140 490  60    0*145 495  75  992*
61260 09/16*150 500  70    0*153 502  65    0*155 504  65  994*160 509  70  984*
61270 09/17*164 512  65  999*166 517  65    0*169 522  65 1000*170 531  65 1002*
61280 09/18*171 538  45 1004*170 543  45    0*169 552  40    0*168 553  35    0*
61290 09/19*167 555  30    0*164 587  30    0*162 600  30    0*159 610  25    0*
61291 09/20*158 620  25    0*155 630  25    0*153 640  25    0*150 650  25    0*
61292 09/21*148 659  25    0*  0   0   0    0*  0   0   0    0*  0   0   0    0*
61300 HR



45 mph maximum
61310 09/20/1969 M=26  9 SNBR= 678 INGA        XING=0
61320 09/20*  0   0   0    0*  0   0   0    0*160 470  25    0*163 480  25    0*
61330 09/21*165 490  30    0*167 502  35    0*168 511  40 1001*169 517  45    0*
61340 09/22*170 523  45    0*171 529  45    0*172 535  50 1007*173 541  50    0*
61350 09/23*174 547  55    0*176 554  50    0*178 561  35 1006*180 569  30    0*
....................
61580 HR



30 mph maximum
66890 08/29/1974 M=13  6 SNBR= 731 CARMEN      XING=1 SSS=3
66900 08/29*  0   0   0    0*168 558  30 1011*164 580  30    0*165 603  30    0*
66910 08/30*166 627  30    0*168 650  30    0*170 674  35    0*170 699  40 1001*
66920 08/31*170 722  45    0*170 742  50    0*170 760  65  988*172 779  75    0*
66930 09/01*173 798  80    0*175 815  85  972*177 832 105  960*178 847 115    0*
66940 09/02*180 859 125  933*184 868 130  928*186 879 120  956*188 888  90    0*
....................
67040 HR LA3



20 mph maximum
82650 09/03/1981 M=10  6 SNBR= 799 FLOYD       XING=0
82660 09/03*  0   0   0    0*  0   0   0    0*162 603  20 1010*167 611  20 1010*
82670 09/04*173 619  20 1009*180 626  20 1008*186 633  30 1006*190 640  35 1004*
....................
82760 HR



70 mph maximum
83000 09/21/1981 M=13  9 SNBR= 802 IRENE       XING=0
83010 09/21*  0   0   0    0*  0   0   0    0*135 325  25 1015*133 336  25 1013*
83020 09/22*131 349  25 1012*128 360  30 1011*126 372  30 1010*125 384  30 1009*
83030 09/23*124 396  30 1007*125 408  35 1005*127 422  40 1003*130 438  45 1001*
83040 09/24*133 453  45  999*138 467  50  996*143 478  55  994*150 489  60  991*
83050 09/25*156 501  65  987*166 512  70  983*174 520  80  980*182 528  90  977*
....................
83140 HR



60 mph maximum
89320 07/31/1989 M=10 04 SNBR= 868 DEAN        XING=0
89330 07/31                 *1480418  25 1010*1500441  25 1009*1510460  30 1008*
89340 08/01*1540476  30 1006*1580493  35 1004*1610511  40 1002*1640529  45 1000*
89350 08/02*1660546  50 0998*1690564  60 0996*1730581  65 0994*1790595  70 0992*
89360 08/03*1850607  70 0990*1890617  70 0987*1930627  75 0985*1970634  75 0985*
....................
89430 HR



105 mph maximum
89740 08/30/1989 M=15 07 SNBR= 871 GABRIELLE   XING=0
89750 08/30                                  *1160210  25 1011*1130230  30 1009*
89760 08/31*1130248  35 1005*1140265  35 1005*1150283  45 1000*1150300  55 0994*
89770 09/01*1150317  65 0987*1180334  65 0987*1230351  65 0987*1280368  65 0987*
89780 09/02*1340386  75 0980*1390403  80 0977*1440420  85 0974*1480438  90 0970*
89790 09/03*1520455  95 0966*1560472 100 0960*1610488 105 0948*1650503 105 0937*
89800 09/04*1700515 105 0927*1740527 110 0940*1800538 115 0942*1860548 120 0942*
....................
89900 HR



70 mph maximum
94240 08/16/1994 M=08  3 SNBR= 915 CHRIS       XING=0
94250 08/16*0000000   0    0*0000000   0    0*1130394  30 1010*1150403  30 1008*
94260 08/17*1170412  35 1006*1210422  40 1003*1260433  50 1000*1330445  60  994*
94270 08/18*1390456  60  988*1450468  65  987*1520480  65  987*1600493  65  987*
94280 08/19*1700506  70  985*1800519  70  979*1900532  70  979*2010544  70  980*
....................
94330 HR



70 mph maximum
97160 07/05/1996 M=13  2 SNBR= 940 BERTHA      XING=1 SSS=2
97170 07/05*0980340  30 1009*1020363  30 1008*1100390  35 1007*1200412  35 1006*
97180 07/06*1270439  35 1005*1310466  35 1004*1370487  40 1002*1420510  45 1000*
97190 07/07*1490529  50  999*1560548  55  997*1640569  60  995*1650584  70  992*
97200 07/08*1700601  75  988*1750618  75  985*1800635  70  983*1860649  75  978*
97210 07/09*1940661  80  970*2030677 100  960*2140694 100  965*2250711  90  967*
97220 07/10*2360726  85  969*2450740  80  971*2540753  80  968*2640758  80  966*
97230 07/11*2750764  75  968*2830768  75  972*2920775  75  977*3000780  70  980*
97240 07/12*3070783  70  982*3120786  70  984*3220784  85  975*3360781  90  974*
97250 07/13*3500776  65  993*3670770  60  993*3830761  60  994*4020745  60  994*
97260 07/14*4210719  60  994*4410690  55  995E4600660  50  995E4700620  50  995*
97270 07/15E4800570  50  995E4900520  45  996E5100470  40  996E5400440  40  996*
97280 07/16E5750425  40  991E5850425  40  988E5950420  45  988E5980410  45  985*
97290 07/17E6000400  40  993E6050390  35 1001*0000000   0    0*0000000   0    0*
97300 HR NC2

The following from the revised tables on line with NOAA at 9/27/02:

 135mph (extended area only)
 57375 09/15/1998 M=17  7 SNBR=1201 GEORGES     XING=1 SSS=2
................
 57400 09/19*1390490  90  970*1440506  95  965*1490520 110  954*1540535 125  949*
 57405 09/20*1570549 130  939*1600563 135  937*1620577 130  939*1640592 115  956*
 57410 09/21*1670606 100  963*1710621 100  966*1740636  95  966*1780650  90  970*
................
 57465 HRBFL2 MS2


 50mph maximum (extended area only)
 58500 11/13/1999 M=11 12 SNBR=1220 LENNY       XING=0                          L
 ....................
 58525 11/17*1590676 100  959*1640665 105  952*1680655 115  946*1740648 135  933*
 58530 11/18*1760642 130  940*1780639 125  944*1790636 120  953*1800633 110  966*
 58535 11/19*1810631  85  975*1800629  75  979*1790628  70  986*1760625  60  994*
 58540 11/20*1730618  55  994*1700611  55  995*1650604  50  996*1590598  45  998*
 58545 11/21*1600590  40  998*1650581  30  998*1720571  30  999*1800567  25 1000*
 ....................
 58560 HR


 75mph maximum (extended area only)
 58740 08/19/2000 M= 6  4 SNBR=1224 DEBBY       XING=0
 58745 08/19*0000000   0    0*0000000   0    0*0000000   0    0*1200445  30 1010*
 58750 08/20*1260453  30 1010*1330468  35 1009*1400488  40 1008*1470506  45 1007*
 58755 08/21*1510521  55 1006*1540540  65 1005*1570563  75 1004*1610585  75 1004*
 58760 08/22*1680601  70  995*1750617  65  993*1810635  65  994*1880654  65  995*
 ....................
 58775 HR



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