In the Test Areas centred at 13'N60'W in the St. Vincent Grenadines
re: Tracks passing through
NARROW AREA bound by 14'N65'W 14'N55'W Martinique - St. Lucia
11'N65'W 11'N55'W Trinidad
1921-2001 1947-2001 1972-2001 1987-2001 1997-2001
80 yrs 55 yrs 30 yrs 15 yrs 5 yrs
------ ------ ------ ------ ------
Within the bounds Reaching gt70 mph 11 5 2 0 0
46 to 70 mph 17 11 6 4 1
lt46 mph 27 21 6 4 1
---- ---- ---- ---- ----
55 37 14 8 2
---- ---- ---- ---- ----
Not a single hurricane strength storm eye passing in 15 years.
Only two (2) hurricane strength storm eye passing in 30 years.
Only five (5) hurricane strength storm eye passing in 55 years.
summary prepared by Russell A. Filman 6/13/97 mailto:filman@295.ca updated 9/29/02
raw data source: Tropical Weather Archives www.nhc.noaa.gov
Eventual Hurricanes 1921-2001 80 years
In the Test Areas centred at 13'N60'W in the St. Vincent Grenadines
re: Tracks passing through
BROAD AREA bound by 15'N65'W 15'N55'W Dominica-Martinique Passage
11'N65'W 11'N55'W Trinidad
1921-2001 1947-2001 1972-2001 1987-2001 1997-2001
80 yrs 55 yrs 30 yrs 15 yrs 5 yrs
------ ------ ------ ------ ------
Within the bounds Reaching gt70 mph 11 11 3 1 0
46 to 70 mph 17 12 8 5 1
lt46 mph 27 23 8 5 1
---- ---- ---- ---- ----
55 46 19 11 2
---- ---- ---- ---- ----
summary prepared by Russell A. Filman 6/13/97 mailto:filman@295.ca updated 9/29/02
raw data source: Tropical Weather Archives www.nhc.noaa.gov
Extracted details on individual storm eye readings follow:
link to a table covering an extension to 17'N65'W and 17'N55'W
70mph maximum
24130 09/08/1921 M= 9 3 SNBR= 246 NOT NAMED XING=0
24140 09/08*102 551 60 0*110 573 65 0*116 586 70 0*122 598 70 0*
24150 09/09*131 611 70 0*139 623 70 0*147 636 70 0*150 649 70 0*
................
24223 HR
60mph maximum
24540 09/13/1922 M=14 2 SNBR= 251 NOT NAMED XING=0
24550 09/13*104 468 35 0*107 488 35 0*110 500 40 0*112 509 40 0*
24560 09/14*116 519 45 0*120 529 50 0*126 540 50 0*134 552 55 0*
24570 09/15*142 564 60 0*151 577 60 0*158 588 65 0*164 598 70 0*
................
24683 HR
40mph maximum
25080 10/12/1923 M= 6 3 SNBR= 256 NOT NAMED XING=1 SSS=1
25090 10/12* 0 0 0 0*104 920 35 0*119 938 35 0*134 944 35 0*
25100 10/13*148 948 40 0*160 951 40 0*171 953 35 0*180 954 40 0*
................
25143 HR LA1
35mph maximum
25520 08/16/1924 M=13 2 SNBR= 262 NOT NAMED XING=0
25530 08/16* 0 0 0 0*105 540 35 0*110 552 35 0*115 561 35 0*
25540 08/17*120 570 35 0*126 580 35 0*134 591 35 0*142 604 35 0*
25550 08/18*150 613 35 0*159 626 35 0*168 635 35 0*176 645 40 0*
................
25653 HR
40mph maximum
25660 08/26/1924 M=12 3 SNBR= 263 NOT NAMED XING=0
25670 08/26*137 500 35 0*137 532 35 0*138 546 35 0*140 558 35 0*
25680 08/27*144 570 40 0*149 581 40 0*153 590 45 0*156 598 50 0*
................
25783 HR
40mph maximum
26280 07/22/1926 M=12 1 SNBR= 271 NOT NAMED XING=1 SSS=2
26290 07/22* 0 0 0 0*140 579 35 0*142 588 40 0*146 603 40 0*
26300 07/23*151 618 45 0*156 632 55 0*163 645 60 0*171 658 65 0*
................
26403 HRDFL2
35mph maximum
27940 08/03/1928 M=10 1 SNBR= 289 NOT NAMED XING=1 SSS=2
27950 08/03*113 607 35 0*123 621 35 0*133 636 35 0*142 652 35 0*
27960 08/04*150 660 35 0*160 670 35 0*167 678 35 0*176 690 40 0*
................
28043 HRCFL2
45mph maximum
28050 08/07/1928 M=11 2 SNBR= 290 NOT NAMED XING=1
28060 08/07* 0 0 0 0* 0 0 0 0*123 600 35 0*128 608 35 0*
28070 08/08*133 616 35 0*138 625 40 0*142 635 40 0*146 646 45 0*
28080 08/09*150 655 50 0*154 669 55 0*158 680 60 0*162 689 65 0*
................
28163 HR
35mph maximum
29400 09/05/1931 M= 8 5 SNBR= 304 NOT NAMED XING=0
29410 09/05* 0 0 0 0* 0 0 0 0* 0 0 0 0*125 555 35 0*
29420 09/06*126 593 35 0*127 610 35 0*128 628 35 0*130 641 35 0*
29430 09/07*133 652 35 0*137 665 40 0*142 679 40 0*148 693 40 0*
................
29483 HR
45mph maximum
32110 09/16/1933 M=10 15 SNBR= 334 NOT NAMED XING=0
32120 09/16* 0 0 0 0*110 547 35 0*121 581 35 0*122 593 35 0*
32130 09/17*124 604 40 0*125 615 40 0*128 626 40 0*131 639 45 0*
32140 09/18*134 651 45 0*136 663 45 0*139 676 50 0*144 689 50 0*
................
32208 HR
45mph maximum
35820 08/10/1938 M= 6 2 SNBR= 384 NOT NAMED XING=1 SSS=1
35830 08/10*112 586 35 0*116 605 40 0*122 628 45 0*131 647 45 0*
35840 08/11*139 669 50 0*146 694 55 0*153 720 60 0*160 744 65 0*
................
35873 HR LA1
45mph maximum
37660 09/23/1941 M= 8 4 SNBR= 407 NOT NAMED XING=0
37670 09/23* 0 0 0 0* 0 0 0 0* 0 0 0 0*140 593 40 0*
37680 09/24*140 612 40 0*140 631 45 0*140 650 45 0*140 663 50 0*
................
37743 HR
35mph maximum
38030 08/21/1942 M=11 2 SNBR= 411 NOT NAMED XING=1 SSS=3
38040 08/21* 0 0 0 0*139 599 35 0*139 608 35 0*139 617 35 0*
38050 08/22*140 628 35 0*141 641 35 0*141 654 35 0*142 664 35 0*
................
38143 HRBTX3
60mph maximum
38860 08/19/1943 M= 9 3 SNBR= 422 NOT NAMED XING=0
38870 08/19* 0 0 0 0*135 555 50 0*141 562 55 0*146 566 60 0*
38880 08/20*151 570 65 0*156 575 70 0*161 580 70 0*167 587 75 0*
................
38953 HR
70mph maximum
39260 10/11/1943 M= 8 9 SNBR= 428 NOT NAMED XING=1
39270 10/11* 0 0 0 0*136 599 45 0*137 606 50 0*138 613 50 0*
39280 10/12*138 622 55 0*138 633 60 0*138 643 65 0*138 650 70 0*
39290 10/13*139 657 70 0*141 669 75 0*147 676 75 0*152 679 75 0*
39300 10/14*158 680 75 0*166 681 80 0*175 682 80 0*181 682 80 0*
................
39334 HR
60mph maximum
39590 08/16/1944 M= 9 4 SNBR= 433 NOT NAMED XING=0
39600 08/16* 0 0 0 0* 0 0 0 0* 0 0 0 0*123 570 40 0*
39610 08/17*125 587 45 0*127 598 45 0*129 608 50 0*132 622 55 0*
39620 08/18*136 638 60 0*142 652 65 0*147 666 75 973*152 680 80 0*
................
39674 HR
50 -> 30mph maximum
45090 08/12/1951 M=12 3 SNBR= 504 CHARLIE XING=0
45100 08/12* 0 0 0 0*122 457 25 0*123 462 25 0*124 468 25 0*
45110 08/13*126 475 25 0*128 484 25 0*130 492 25 0*132 499 25 0*
45120 08/14*134 506 25 0*136 513 25 0*138 522 30 0*140 535 30 0*
45130 08/15*143 553 35 0*146 572 45 0*149 590 50 0*152 607 60 0*
45140 08/16*154 625 65 0*157 648 70 0*160 670 75 0*161 687 80 0*
................
45213 HR
100 -> 0mph maximum
45220 08/27/1951 M=10 4 SNBR= 505 DOG XING=0
................
45280 09/01*140 532 50 0*141 547 50 0*141 562 55 0*141 576 60 0*
45290 09/02*141 588 65 0*141 600 80 0*141 613 95 0*142 628 100 0*
45300 09/03*143 644 100 0*144 659 95 0*146 674 90 0*147 697 85 0*
................
45323 HR
25mph maximum
47850 09/02/1954 M=14 5 SNBR= 537 EDNA XING=1 SSS=3
47860 09/02* 0 0 0 0*112 564 25 0*121 571 25 0*131 575 25 0*
47870 09/03*142 580 25 0*153 586 25 0*164 592 25 0*171 598 25 0*
................
47984 HR MA3 ME1
55 -> 35mph maximum
48420 12/30/1954 M= 8 11 SNBR= 543 ALICE XING=0 L
................
48470 01/03*176 632 70 0*173 636 70 0*170 640 70 0*165 647 70 0*
48480 01/04*160 653 65 0*155 652 65 0*151 649 55 0*147 644 50 0*
48490 01/05*144 640 40 0*140 636 35 0*136 633 30 0*133 631 25 0*
48491 01/06*130 630 25 0*128 630 25 0* 0 0 0 0* 0 0 0 0*
48494 HR
40 -> 0mph maximum
49300 09/10/1955 M=15 9 SNBR= 552 IONE XING=1 SSS=3
49310 09/10* 0 0 0 0*154 432 25 0*154 442 35 0*154 454 35 0*
49320 09/11*153 467 35 0*153 480 35 0*152 493 35 0*149 505 35 0*
49330 09/12*147 517 35 0*144 529 35 0*142 541 35 0*144 553 40 1008*
49340 09/13*150 565 40 0*157 575 40 0*164 582 45 0*169 588 45 0*
................
49444 HR NC3
105mph maximum
49450 09/21/1955 M=10 10 SNBR= 553 JANET XING=0
49460 09/21* 0 0 0 0* 0 0 0 0* 0 0 0 0*132 543 35 0*
49470 09/22*133 560 50 0*131 576 50 0*129 592 105 0*125 604 105 979*
49480 09/23*123 614 100 0*125 625 85 0*127 636 80 996*129 648 80 996*
49490 09/24*130 660 85 0*135 669 95 0*140 679 100 996*139 693 110 995*
................
49544 HR
105 -> 60mph maximum
49760 08/09/1956 M=12 3 SNBR= 558 BETSY XING=0
49770 08/09* 0 0 0 0*135 472 50 0*137 488 50 0*139 502 50 0*
49780 08/10*140 516 60 0*141 530 105 0*142 543 105 0*144 560 105 979*
49790 08/11*147 578 105 0*149 591 100 0*153 603 95 0*160 618 80 991*
................
49874 HR
35mph maximum
51260 08/30/1958 M= 8 5 SNBR= 576 ELLA XING=1
51270 08/30* 0 0 0 0*137 566 30 0*140 596 35 0*154 620 35 0*
................
51343 HR
50 -> 0mph maximum
51350 09/04/1958 M= 9 6 SNBR= 577 FIFI XING=0
................
51380 09/06*145 541 50 1000*156 557 65 0*166 571 75 0*175 583 80 0*
................
51443 HR
80 -> 65mph maximum
52680 07/10/1960 M= 7 2 SNBR= 594 ABBY XING=0
52700 07/10*130 562 30 0*130 580 30 0*138 610 65 0*142 623 70 0*
52710 07/11*145 635 80 0*144 648 80 0*148 660 85 0*152 675 80 0*
................
52763 HR
0 -> 0 130* Did not enter test areas
52870 08/29/1960 M=17 5 SNBR= 597 DONNA XING=1 SSS=4
................
52930 09/03*143 494 125 0*147 512 130 0*152 529 130 965*156 546 135 947*
52940 09/04*160 563 135 0*164 580 140 0*168 595 140 952*172 608 135 0*
................
53034 HRBFL4 NC3 NY3DFL2 CT2 RI2 MA1 NH1 ME1
60mph maximum
53200 07/20/1961 M= 5 1 SNBR= 600 ANNA XING=0
53210 07/20*115 602 35 0*117 620 45 1002*119 638 60 999*124 657 70 0*
................
53253 HR
85mph maximum
55170 09/23/1963 M= 7 6 SNBR= 621 EDITH XING=0
55180 09/23* 0 0 0 0* 0 0 0 0*110 520 25 0*115 530 25 0*
55190 09/24*121 540 30 1005*125 553 30 0*129 565 35 1004*132 582 65 1000*
55200 09/25*137 596 85 0*139 606 75 0*144 616 85 993*147 627 85 990*
55210 09/26*150 641 65 0*153 654 65 998*158 669 65 1000*168 673 65 1000*
................
55243 HR
115mph maximum
55250 09/26/1963 M=18 7 SNBR= 622 FLORA XING=0
55260 09/26* 0 0 0 0* 0 0 0 0* 80 330 25 0* 81 348 25 0*
55270 09/27* 82 365 25 0* 83 383 30 0* 85 400 30 0* 87 416 30 0*
55280 09/28* 88 432 30 0* 90 447 30 0* 92 463 30 0* 95 479 30 0*
55290 09/29* 98 495 30 0* 99 511 30 0*100 528 40 1000*101 544 55 0*
55300 09/30*103 560 70 0*104 576 85 0*107 591 100 994*112 607 105 978*
55310 10/01*116 620 110 981*120 633 110 981*125 648 115 974*130 660 115 975*
................
55433 HR
75 -> 40mph maximum
55960 08/20/1964 M=17 5 SNBR= 629 CLEO XING=1 SSS=2
55970 08/20* 0 0 0 0* 0 0 0 0* 0 0 0 0*131 443 30 1003*
55980 08/21*134 468 35 0*137 491 40 1000*141 513 65 0*144 535 70 993*
55990 08/22*149 557 75 993*153 578 100 0*157 597 110 970*160 619 115 962*
................
56133 HRCFL2
30mph maximum
57110 08/27/1965 M=18 3 SNBR= 639 BETSY XING=1 SSS=3
57120 08/27*109 505 25 0*111 521 30 0*114 535 30 0*116 545 30 1007*
57130 08/28*120 558 30 0*130 578 30 0*140 598 30 1010*153 614 30 0*
57140 08/29*162 621 30 1010*174 626 30 0*192 634 35 1007*205 643 40 997*
................
57293 HRCFL3 LA3
80 -> 40mph maximum
58880 09/05/1967 M=18 2 SNBR= 655 BEULAH XING=1 SSS=3
58890 09/05* 0 0 0 0* 0 0 0 0*140 570 30 0*139 578 30 1010*
58900 09/06*138 585 30 0*137 593 30 0*136 600 30 0*136 602 30 0*
58910 09/07*137 605 30 0*138 607 30 0*139 608 40 1006*140 611 45 0*
58920 09/08*142 615 50 1005*144 619 55 0*145 622 60 996*147 629 75 989*
58930 09/09*150 637 80 0*153 644 90 0*158 651 100 0*163 661 115 950*
58940 09/10*168 667 120 0*173 676 125 0*175 682 130 947*176 690 120 951*
58950 09/11*177 699 110 967*177 708 80 0*177 715 75 0*176 726 80 978*
58960 09/12*176 733 65 1006*175 741 65 997*173 751 60 1000*165 762 50 998*
58970 09/13*162 768 50 1004*160 773 50 0*158 778 50 996*158 781 50 997*
58980 09/14*159 785 55 996*160 790 60 998*163 795 75 991*168 801 90 989*
................
59063 HRATX3
30mph maximum
61070 08/29/1969 M= 7 6 SNBR= 675 FRANCELIA XING=0
61080 08/29*115 620 30 0*118 635 30 0*120 650 30 0*125 665 30 1005*
................
61150 HR
25 -> 0mph maximum
61230 09/14/1969 M= 8 8 SNBR= 677 HOLLY XING=0
................
61291 09/20*158 620 25 0*155 630 25 0*153 640 25 0*150 650 25 0*
61292 09/21*148 659 25 0* 0 0 0 0* 0 0 0 0* 0 0 0 0*
61300 HR
30mph maximum
63900 09/05/1971 M=14 6 SNBR= 703 EDITH XING=1 SSS=2
63910 09/05* 0 0 0 0* 0 0 0 0* 0 0 0 0*114 580 25 1010*
63920 09/06*116 594 30 0*118 611 30 0*120 628 30 0*122 644 25 0*
63930 09/07*123 660 25 0*125 677 25 0*127 691 35 1006*129 709 45 995*
................
64140 HR LA2
30mph maximum
64670 09/11/1971 M=10 10 SNBR= 707 IRENE XING=0
64680 09/11* 0 0 0 0* 0 0 0 0* 0 0 0 0*110 485 25 1009*
64690 09/12*113 503 25 0*118 522 25 0*121 538 25 1009*125 550 25 0*
64700 09/13*125 565 25 0*125 578 25 0*125 590 25 0*123 598 25 0*
64710 09/14*122 603 25 0*121 608 25 0*120 614 25 1007*119 621 25 0*
64720 09/15*117 630 30 0*115 640 30 0*114 650 30 0*115 662 30 0*
................
64780 HR
65mph maximum
67350 09/27/1974 M= 8 10 SNBR= 735 GERTRUDE XING=0
................
67400 09/29*110 530 65 999*112 540 65 0*114 550 65 1000*115 554 65 1001*
67410 09/30*117 560 65 1004*113 564 65 1005*110 566 65 0*115 565 45 1008*
67420 10/01*119 571 45 0*120 577 45 0*121 583 45 1009*122 589 40 0*
67430 10/02*124 598 40 0*125 605 35 0*126 615 30 0*127 624 30 0*
67440 10/03*127 632 30 0*128 641 30 0*128 650 30 0*129 660 30 0*
67450 10/04*130 670 30 0* 0 0 0 0* 0 0 0 0* 0 0 0 0*
67460 HR
60mph maximum
70170 08/07/1978 M= 6 4 SNBR= 765 CORA XING=0
................
70210 08/10*128 528 60 1006*124 548 55 1007*122 568 55 1007*121 588 50 1008*
70220 08/11*120 609 45 1008*120 628 35 1008*121 648 30 1008*121 668 30 1009*
................
70240 HR
25mph maximum
70550 09/13/1978 M= 8 8 SNBR= 769 GRETA XING=0
70560 09/13* 0 0 0 0* 0 0 0 0* 0 0 0 0*110 625 25 0*
70570 09/14*115 645 25 0*120 660 30 0*125 675 35 0*130 690 35 1004*
................
70640 HR
130mph maximum
80310 08/25/1979 M=15 4 SNBR= 777 DAVID XING=1 SSS=2
................
80340 08/27*117 470 55 990*118 485 65 980*118 500 80 966*119 515 95 954*
80350 08/28*122 529 115 947*125 544 125 941*128 557 130 938*132 569 125 941*
80360 08/29*137 580 120 944*142 592 120 942*148 603 125 938*153 616 125 933*
80370 08/30*156 628 130 929*160 642 140 925*163 652 145 924*166 662 150 924*
................
80461 HRCFL2DFL2 GA2 SC2
60 -> 0mph maximum
80520 08/29/1979 M=18 6 SNBR= 779 FREDERIC XING=1 SSS=3
................
80570 09/02*143 541 60 992*149 555 60 994*155 572 60 996*163 588 55 999*
................
80701 HR AL3 MS3
130mph maximum
81000 07/31/1980 M=12 1 SNBR= 783 ALLEN XING=1 SSS=3
................
81040 08/03*124 514 65 985*126 536 70 980*128 556 80 975*129 575 95 965*
81050 08/04*133 591 110 950*136 610 115 948*140 630 125 945*144 649 130 930*
................
81130 HRATX3
30mph maximum
82320 08/07/1981 M=16 4 SNBR= 797 DENNIS XING=1
................
82370 08/11*138 549 30 1007*140 565 30 1008*143 583 30 1009*146 601 30 1010*
82380 08/12*149 619 25 1010*152 638 25 1011*154 657 25 1011*156 676 25 1011*
................
82490 HR
30 -> 0mph maximum
82770 09/07/1981 M= 9 7 SNBR= 800 GERT XING=0
82780 09/07*148 540 25 1013*149 557 30 1012*151 574 30 1012*153 590 30 1010*
82790 09/08*156 606 40 1008*161 623 45 1005*168 640 50 1002*178 654 50 1004*
................
82870 HR
60mph maximum
87750 09/20/1987 M= 7 6 SNBR= 851 EMILY XING=0
87760 09/20*0980513 25 1008*1040530 25 1007*1090547 30 1006*1140564 35 1005*
87770 09/21*1200580 40 1004*1240597 40 1004*1310613 45 1004*1370631 50 1002*
87780 09/22*1450647 60 992*1510663 80 978*1590677 90 971*1670691 110 958*
................
87830 HR
45mph maximum
88440 09/08/1988 M=13 8 SNBR= 860 GILBERT XING=0
88450 09/08* 0 0 0 0* 0 0 0 0* 0 0 0 0*1200540 25 1008*
88460 09/09*1270556 25 1007*1330571 30 1006*1400586 30 1005*1450601 35 1004*
88470 09/10*1480615 40 1002*1500628 45 0998*1530641 50 0995*1570654 55 0992*
................
88580 HR
45mph maximum
88790 10/10/1988 M=14 11 SNBR= 863 JOAN XING=0
................
88830 10/13*1240538 40 1007*1250549 40 1007*1260560 40 1006*1270571 40 1005*
88840 10/14*1260583 40 1003*1240594 40 1002*1220600 45 1001*1200608 45 1001*
88850 10/15*1210615 45 1003*1210628 45 1004*1200638 45 1004*1190649 45 1003*
................
88940 HR
135 -> 0mph maximum
89910 09/10/1989 M=16 08 SNBR= 872 HUGO XING=1 SSS=4
................
89970 09/15*1380505 100 962*1400519 110 957*1420533 125 940*1460546 140 0918*
89980 09/16*1480561 135 923*1510573 130 927*1540584 120 940*1580594 120 0941*
................
90080 HR SC4
70 -> 0mph maximum
90910 08/24/1990 M=11 7 SNBR= 882 GUSTAV XING=0
................
90940 08/26*1400533 55 997*1420544 60 993*1450555 65 990*1500564 70 984*
90950 08/27*1530570 75 980*1590577 85 973*1660580 90 967*1730582 95 965*
................
91030 HR
65mph maximum
95600 08/22/1995 M=17 9 SNBR= 928 IRIS XING=0
................
95630 08/24*152 538 70 992*150 543 70 992*148 551 65 992*146 560 60 992*
95640 08/25*145 568 55 995*143 578 55 996*142 588 55 999*142 598 50 998*
95650 08/26*140 603 50 1000*142 602 45 999*146 605 45 1000*149 610 40 1003*
95660 08/27*151 614 35 1006*155 618 40 1005*160 620 45 1004*170 619 50 995*
................
95780 HR
70mph maximum
96170 09/12/1995 M=20 13 SNBR= 932 MARILYN XING=0
96180 09/12 0 0 0 0* 0 0 0 0* 0 0 0 0*117 509 30 1006*
96190 09/13*118 527 35 1004*119 543 45 999*121 554 55 995*125 565 60 990*
96200 09/14*130 577 65 988*135 588 70 987*142 598 70 986*150 608 70 983*
96210 09/15*158 617 75 985*165 628 80 977*168 635 80 974*174 642 85 969*
................
96380 HR
25mph maximum
97310 07/24/1996 M= 5 3 SNBR= 941 CESAR XING=0
97320 07/24*0000000 0 0*0000000 0 0*0000000 0 0*1180626 25 1009*
97330 07/25*1190647 25 1009*1190665 30 1007*1210681 40 1004*1230696 40 1002*
................
97370 HR
30 -> 0mph maximum
97990 09/03/1996 M=14 8 SNBR= 946 HORTENSE XING=0
................
98030 09/06*1440536 30 1006*1460543 30 1006*1470551 30 1006*1490557 30 1006*
98040 09/07*1520570 30 1006*1540583 35 1005*1560596 40 1004*1580604 40 1000*
................
98140 HR
The following from the revised tables on line with NOAA at 9/27/02:
65mph maximum narrow & wide area - 85mph extended area
58410 10/17/1999 M= 9 10 SNBR=1218 JOSE XING=0
58415 10/17*0000000 00 000*0000000 00 000*0000000 00 000*0980508 25 1006*
58420 10/18*1030518 30 1005*1090528 35 1004*1150539 40 1003*1220551 40 1002*
58425 10/19*1290561 45 1000*1350571 55 994*1410581 60 994*1490589 65 992*
58430 10/20*1570595 70 987*1630602 80 979*1680611 85 980*1720620 80 983*
................
58460 HR
35mph maximum
59820 10/04/2001 M= 6 9 SNBR=1244 IRIS XING=0
59825 10/04*0000000 0 0*0000000 0 0*1230582 25 1011*1280599 30 1010*
59830 10/05*1340614 30 1010*1400630 30 1010*1480645 35 1008*1550660 45 1005*
................
59855 HR
return to the top or to Russ' Bequia
Eventual Hurricanes 1921-2001 80 years
In the Test Areas centred at 13'N60'W in the St. Vincent Grenadines
re: Tracks passing through
NORTH-EXTENDED AREA bound by 17'N65'W 17'N55'W Guadaloupe
11'N65'W 11'N55'W Trinidad
1921-2001 1947-2001 1972-2001 1987-2001 1997-2001
80 yrs 55 yrs 30 yrs 15 yrs 5 yrs
------ ------ ------ ------ ------
Within the bounds Reaching gt70 mph 24 24 15 13 3
46 to 70 mph 23 18 14 11 1
lt46 mph 33 29 14 11 1
---- ---- ---- ---- ----
Extended Area Totals 80 71 43 35 5
---- ---- ---- ---- ----
Broad Area for comparison 55 46 19 11 2
-31% -35% -44% -68% -60%
Narrow Area for comparison 55 37 14 8 2
-31% -47% -67% -77% -60%
Editorial comment: Considering these statistics, we have to seriously ask why insurance rates for St. Vincent and the Grenadines are maintained at such usurious levels and why the insurable demarcation zone is drawn south of St. Vincent and the Grenadines rather than to the north*. Is it because the country has insufficient support from the world community to right this blatant abuse? Do you have a supportable argument for other considerations? * This consideration voids St. Vincent's access to hurricane season yacht sheltering services, dockage, registration and all the concomitant business involved in annual overhauls to waterborne craft. This is a significant economic blockage for such a small undeveloped country.
summary prepared by Russell A. Filman 6/20/97 mailto:filman@295.ca updated 9/29/02 raw data source: Tropical Weather Archives www.nhc.noaa.gov
return to the top or to Russ' Bequia
E-mail comments to Russ Filman at filman@295.ca
Incremental items not included in NARROW or BROAD test areas extracts follow:
tracks crossing in the area 17'N65'W 17'N50'W
16'N65'W 16'N50'W
60 mph maximum
43270 09/21/1949 M= 2 9 SNBR= 484 NOT NAMED XING=0
43280 09/21* 0 0 0 0*162 625 60 0*164 653 65 0*169 666 70 0*
43290 09/22*173 678 70 0*178 688 70 0*182 699 65 0*185 720 35 0*
43293 HR
35 mph maximum
43580 08/12/1950 M=11 1 SNBR= 489 ABLE XING=0
43600 08/12*165 545 35 0*171 555 40 0*177 570 45 0*184 583 50 0*
43610 08/13*191 595 50 0*201 611 55 0*210 625 65 0*216 632 70 0*
43620 08/14*222 637 70 0*230 646 70 0*236 653 70 0*240 658 75 0*
43630 08/15*244 662 75 0*248 667 75 0*252 672 80 0*255 677 80 0*
43640 08/16*257 683 85 0*258 688 90 0*257 692 90 0*256 697 95 0*
43650 08/17*254 704 100 0*253 714 105 0*253 724 110 0*255 732 115 0*
43660 08/18*261 738 120 0*268 744 120 0*275 749 120 0*282 754 120 0*
43670 08/19*289 758 120 0*299 761 120 0*310 762 120 0*319 760 120 0*
43680 08/20*328 757 120 0*345 748 115 0*365 729 110 0*379 714 105 0*
43690 08/21*394 695 90 0*418 670 65 0*442 643 35 0*460 620 30 0*
43700 08/22*479 596 30 0*498 568 25 0*518 540 25 0*536 507 25 0*
43703 HR
105 mph maximum
43710 08/20/1950 M=13 2 SNBR= 490 BAKER XING=1 SSS=1
43720 08/20* 0 0 0 0*163 550 60 0*165 565 60 0*165 574 65 0*
43730 08/21*166 583 80 0*166 592 95 0*167 600 105 0*166 607 100 0*
43740 08/22*165 613 90 0*166 618 80 0*167 624 70 0*168 631 60 0*
43750 08/23*170 640 50 0*173 650 40 0*176 660 35 0*180 670 30 0*
....................
43843 HR AL1
35 mph maximum
45900 08/18/1952 M=16 2 SNBR= 513 ABLE XING=1 SSS=1
45910 08/18* 0 0 0 0*146 190 25 0*144 196 25 0*143 198 25 0*
45920 08/19*141 209 25 0*139 215 25 0*137 226 25 0*134 236 25 0*
45930 08/20*132 247 25 0*130 259 25 0*128 272 25 0*126 283 25 0*
45940 08/21*124 294 25 0*123 307 25 0*123 321 25 0*123 334 25 0*
45950 08/22*123 346 25 0*123 354 25 0*123 365 25 0*125 381 25 0*
45960 08/23*129 398 25 0*133 415 25 0*137 431 25 0*143 447 25 0*
45970 08/24*149 463 25 0*153 477 25 0*158 491 30 0*164 512 35 0*
45980 08/25*170 535 40 0*177 555 40 0*184 571 45 0*190 581 45 0*
....................
46063 HR SC1
60 mph maximum
46070 08/31/1952 M=10 3 SNBR= 514 BAKER XING=0
46080 08/31* 0 0 0 0*167 584 60 0*173 587 60 0*178 590 60 0*
....................
46173 HR
85 mph maximum
46790 08/28/1953 M=13 4 SNBR= 522 CAROL XING=1 SSS=1
46800 08/28* 0 0 0 0*160 205 25 0*153 216 30 0*146 228 30 0*
46810 08/29*139 240 30 0*132 253 30 0*126 267 30 0*120 281 30 0*
46820 08/30*114 295 30 0*109 307 30 0*107 321 30 0*106 339 30 0*
46830 08/31*106 358 30 0*106 377 35 0*106 396 35 0*108 414 40 0*
46840 09/01*113 430 40 0*119 443 45 0*125 456 50 0*131 469 55 0*
46850 09/02*136 481 60 0*142 495 70 0*150 510 75 0*161 537 85 0*
46860 09/03*173 563 115 0*181 575 125 0*189 587 130 0*199 600 130 929*
....................
46923 HR ME1
25mph maximum
47040 09/14/1953 M= 7 6 SNBR= 524 EDNA XING=0
47050 09/14* 0 0 0 0*160 617 25 0*170 624 35 0*179 631 40 0*
....................
47113 HR
60 mph maximum
48830 08/21/1955 M=14 4 SNBR= 547 EDITH XING=0
48840 08/21* 0 0 0 0* 0 0 0 0*124 410 25 0*128 423 25 0*
48850 08/22*132 435 25 0*136 447 25 0*139 459 25 0*142 470 25 0*
48860 08/23*145 480 25 0*150 495 30 0*153 510 45 0*157 523 45 0*
48870 08/24*163 533 60 0*172 540 60 0*183 546 60 0*199 552 60 0*
....................
48973 HR
30 mph maximum
49190 09/10/1955 M=11 8 SNBR= 551 HILDA XING=0
49200 09/10* 0 0 0 0* 0 0 0 0* 0 0 0 0*168 613 30 0*
49210 09/11*174 617 30 0*180 623 30 0*186 629 35 0*189 641 40 0*
....................
49293 HR
60 mph maximum
56140 08/28/1964 M=20 6 SNBR= 630 DORA XING=1 SSS=2
56141 08/28* 0 0 0 0* 0 0 0 0*140 180 25 0*136 200 25 0*
56142 08/29*131 220 25 0*128 240 25 0*124 260 25 0*121 275 25 0*
56143 08/30*118 296 25 0*117 317 25 0*115 333 25 0*114 350 25 0*
56150 08/31*112 370 25 0*111 390 25 0*110 410 30 0*111 425 30 0*
56160 09/01*113 440 30 0*115 455 30 0*117 470 50 0*127 487 55 998*
56170 09/02*133 496 60 0*142 512 60 0*153 530 60 996*165 549 60 0*
56180 09/03*178 565 80 0*182 573 85 984*187 580 90 984*196 589 90 0*
....................
56313 HRDFL2
90 mph maximum
58100 08/21/1966 M=18 6 SNBR= 648 FAITH XING=0
58110 08/21*129 205 25 0*133 223 25 0*137 242 25 0*140 261 25 1006*
58120 08/22*143 280 35 0*146 299 35 0*149 319 35 0*150 339 40 0*
58130 08/23*151 358 50 0*152 378 50 0*152 398 65 0*153 418 65 0*
58140 08/24*153 438 80 0*153 457 80 0*153 477 80 992*156 498 85 0*
58150 08/25*160 520 85 993*163 541 90 995*166 562 90 986*169 579 90 990*
58160 08/26*173 594 90 0*177 608 85 997*183 622 80 995*190 637 75 0*
....................
58273 HR
75 mph maximum
60880 08/14/1969 M=12 4 SNBR= 673 DEBBIE XING=0
60890 08/14* 0 0 0 0* 0 0 0 0*130 355 25 0*133 370 25 0*
60900 08/15*135 385 30 0*138 400 30 0*140 415 35 0*143 430 40 0*
60910 08/16*145 445 45 0*147 457 50 0*150 470 55 0*155 480 65 0*
60920 08/17*160 490 70 984*165 500 75 980*170 508 90 976*177 517 90 971*
60930 08/18*184 526 90 967*191 534 100 968*197 541 100 974*204 547 90 972*
....................
61010 HR
40 mph maximum
61230 09/14/1969 M= 8 8 SNBR= 677 HOLLY XING=0
61240 09/14* 0 0 0 0* 0 0 0 0*119 474 25 0*123 481 30 1000*
61250 09/15*127 485 40 0*133 488 50 0*140 490 60 0*145 495 75 992*
61260 09/16*150 500 70 0*153 502 65 0*155 504 65 994*160 509 70 984*
61270 09/17*164 512 65 999*166 517 65 0*169 522 65 1000*170 531 65 1002*
61280 09/18*171 538 45 1004*170 543 45 0*169 552 40 0*168 553 35 0*
61290 09/19*167 555 30 0*164 587 30 0*162 600 30 0*159 610 25 0*
61291 09/20*158 620 25 0*155 630 25 0*153 640 25 0*150 650 25 0*
61292 09/21*148 659 25 0* 0 0 0 0* 0 0 0 0* 0 0 0 0*
61300 HR
45 mph maximum
61310 09/20/1969 M=26 9 SNBR= 678 INGA XING=0
61320 09/20* 0 0 0 0* 0 0 0 0*160 470 25 0*163 480 25 0*
61330 09/21*165 490 30 0*167 502 35 0*168 511 40 1001*169 517 45 0*
61340 09/22*170 523 45 0*171 529 45 0*172 535 50 1007*173 541 50 0*
61350 09/23*174 547 55 0*176 554 50 0*178 561 35 1006*180 569 30 0*
....................
61580 HR
30 mph maximum
66890 08/29/1974 M=13 6 SNBR= 731 CARMEN XING=1 SSS=3
66900 08/29* 0 0 0 0*168 558 30 1011*164 580 30 0*165 603 30 0*
66910 08/30*166 627 30 0*168 650 30 0*170 674 35 0*170 699 40 1001*
66920 08/31*170 722 45 0*170 742 50 0*170 760 65 988*172 779 75 0*
66930 09/01*173 798 80 0*175 815 85 972*177 832 105 960*178 847 115 0*
66940 09/02*180 859 125 933*184 868 130 928*186 879 120 956*188 888 90 0*
....................
67040 HR LA3
20 mph maximum
82650 09/03/1981 M=10 6 SNBR= 799 FLOYD XING=0
82660 09/03* 0 0 0 0* 0 0 0 0*162 603 20 1010*167 611 20 1010*
82670 09/04*173 619 20 1009*180 626 20 1008*186 633 30 1006*190 640 35 1004*
....................
82760 HR
70 mph maximum
83000 09/21/1981 M=13 9 SNBR= 802 IRENE XING=0
83010 09/21* 0 0 0 0* 0 0 0 0*135 325 25 1015*133 336 25 1013*
83020 09/22*131 349 25 1012*128 360 30 1011*126 372 30 1010*125 384 30 1009*
83030 09/23*124 396 30 1007*125 408 35 1005*127 422 40 1003*130 438 45 1001*
83040 09/24*133 453 45 999*138 467 50 996*143 478 55 994*150 489 60 991*
83050 09/25*156 501 65 987*166 512 70 983*174 520 80 980*182 528 90 977*
....................
83140 HR
60 mph maximum
89320 07/31/1989 M=10 04 SNBR= 868 DEAN XING=0
89330 07/31 *1480418 25 1010*1500441 25 1009*1510460 30 1008*
89340 08/01*1540476 30 1006*1580493 35 1004*1610511 40 1002*1640529 45 1000*
89350 08/02*1660546 50 0998*1690564 60 0996*1730581 65 0994*1790595 70 0992*
89360 08/03*1850607 70 0990*1890617 70 0987*1930627 75 0985*1970634 75 0985*
....................
89430 HR
105 mph maximum
89740 08/30/1989 M=15 07 SNBR= 871 GABRIELLE XING=0
89750 08/30 *1160210 25 1011*1130230 30 1009*
89760 08/31*1130248 35 1005*1140265 35 1005*1150283 45 1000*1150300 55 0994*
89770 09/01*1150317 65 0987*1180334 65 0987*1230351 65 0987*1280368 65 0987*
89780 09/02*1340386 75 0980*1390403 80 0977*1440420 85 0974*1480438 90 0970*
89790 09/03*1520455 95 0966*1560472 100 0960*1610488 105 0948*1650503 105 0937*
89800 09/04*1700515 105 0927*1740527 110 0940*1800538 115 0942*1860548 120 0942*
....................
89900 HR
70 mph maximum
94240 08/16/1994 M=08 3 SNBR= 915 CHRIS XING=0
94250 08/16*0000000 0 0*0000000 0 0*1130394 30 1010*1150403 30 1008*
94260 08/17*1170412 35 1006*1210422 40 1003*1260433 50 1000*1330445 60 994*
94270 08/18*1390456 60 988*1450468 65 987*1520480 65 987*1600493 65 987*
94280 08/19*1700506 70 985*1800519 70 979*1900532 70 979*2010544 70 980*
....................
94330 HR
70 mph maximum
97160 07/05/1996 M=13 2 SNBR= 940 BERTHA XING=1 SSS=2
97170 07/05*0980340 30 1009*1020363 30 1008*1100390 35 1007*1200412 35 1006*
97180 07/06*1270439 35 1005*1310466 35 1004*1370487 40 1002*1420510 45 1000*
97190 07/07*1490529 50 999*1560548 55 997*1640569 60 995*1650584 70 992*
97200 07/08*1700601 75 988*1750618 75 985*1800635 70 983*1860649 75 978*
97210 07/09*1940661 80 970*2030677 100 960*2140694 100 965*2250711 90 967*
97220 07/10*2360726 85 969*2450740 80 971*2540753 80 968*2640758 80 966*
97230 07/11*2750764 75 968*2830768 75 972*2920775 75 977*3000780 70 980*
97240 07/12*3070783 70 982*3120786 70 984*3220784 85 975*3360781 90 974*
97250 07/13*3500776 65 993*3670770 60 993*3830761 60 994*4020745 60 994*
97260 07/14*4210719 60 994*4410690 55 995E4600660 50 995E4700620 50 995*
97270 07/15E4800570 50 995E4900520 45 996E5100470 40 996E5400440 40 996*
97280 07/16E5750425 40 991E5850425 40 988E5950420 45 988E5980410 45 985*
97290 07/17E6000400 40 993E6050390 35 1001*0000000 0 0*0000000 0 0*
97300 HR NC2
The following from the revised tables on line with NOAA at 9/27/02:
135mph (extended area only)
57375 09/15/1998 M=17 7 SNBR=1201 GEORGES XING=1 SSS=2
................
57400 09/19*1390490 90 970*1440506 95 965*1490520 110 954*1540535 125 949*
57405 09/20*1570549 130 939*1600563 135 937*1620577 130 939*1640592 115 956*
57410 09/21*1670606 100 963*1710621 100 966*1740636 95 966*1780650 90 970*
................
57465 HRBFL2 MS2
50mph maximum (extended area only)
58500 11/13/1999 M=11 12 SNBR=1220 LENNY XING=0 L
....................
58525 11/17*1590676 100 959*1640665 105 952*1680655 115 946*1740648 135 933*
58530 11/18*1760642 130 940*1780639 125 944*1790636 120 953*1800633 110 966*
58535 11/19*1810631 85 975*1800629 75 979*1790628 70 986*1760625 60 994*
58540 11/20*1730618 55 994*1700611 55 995*1650604 50 996*1590598 45 998*
58545 11/21*1600590 40 998*1650581 30 998*1720571 30 999*1800567 25 1000*
....................
58560 HR
75mph maximum (extended area only)
58740 08/19/2000 M= 6 4 SNBR=1224 DEBBY XING=0
58745 08/19*0000000 0 0*0000000 0 0*0000000 0 0*1200445 30 1010*
58750 08/20*1260453 30 1010*1330468 35 1009*1400488 40 1008*1470506 45 1007*
58755 08/21*1510521 55 1006*1540540 65 1005*1570563 75 1004*1610585 75 1004*
58760 08/22*1680601 70 995*1750617 65 993*1810635 65 994*1880654 65 995*
....................
58775 HR